Prices for American Primary and
Secondary Wood Products
Lumber
Although the recession in the USA is over, the recovery is spluttering and weak. In the
forestry sector, not much of a revival can be observed and the lumber price indicies
continued to slide during the first quarter of 2002. In particular, prices for rough
lumber performed very poorly. With the exception of a few short-lived blips, prices for
rough lumber have been on a steady decline for over twelve months, standing now 6.2
percent below year-ago levels.
The price erosion for dressed lumber and dimension lumber was less pronounced. It started
only in May of 2001 and the year on year declines was 2.2 percent for dressed lumber and
0.9 percent for dimension lumber. The lower price declines were largely due to the rising
labour costs-component of these products. However, on a historic six-year perspective,
price gains of value-added lumber items were equally as modest as those of low-processed
products. Rough lumber is priced 7.6% higher than in January of 1996. The corresponding
figures are 5.2 percent for dressed lumber and 9.7 percent for dimension lumber. The
relatively better performance of dimension lumber is a reflection of the trend by
secondary wood products manufacturers to outsource the initial production steps in the
manufacturing process. Demand, supply and price
movements vary significantly between different species, quality grades, drying levels, and
growing regions. Below, are listed the price changes of several widely used species during
the past month. (Note that the following comments and data refer to 1000 Board Feet (MBF)
of top-quality lumber, 1" thick. Imported lumber is quoted at dockside West Coast
port of entry. Approximately $ 50.00 to $ 55.00 will have to be added for East Coast
ports).
Hard Maple witnessed the steepest price decline in April. For
instance, green Hard Maple in the Appalachian region dropped by more than 4 percent during
the last month alone. Due to substantial price advances throughout most of 2001 Maple is
now increasingly substituted by other less costly woods. Similar - but less pronounced -
conditions exist for Walnut. On the other hand, Red Oak lumber was able to withstand the
downward price pressure and prices advanced between one and two percent in April,
depending on the region.
Generally, prices in the Southern United States are weaker than
elsewhere in America. Furthermore, kiln dried lumber prices seem to suffer most under the
current price erosion. As green lumber is in shorter supply, prices held up better
recently (with the exception of green Hard Maple in the Appalachian region).
Bucking the generally sagging price trend of
temperate species are a few sought-after tropical species. While the price of (kiln dried)
Genuine Mahogany remained stable during the fist quarter of this year, it moved up by 1.3
percent in April. Compared to March 2001, prices are almost 8 percent higher and compared
to six years ago the increase amounts to a staggering 42.6 percent. Green Mahogany and
African Mahogany also saw their prices lift, albeit to a somewhat lesser extent.
S.American Mahogany |
|
KD |
US$3560 |
US$45 |
|
AD |
US$3075 |
No Change |
|
African Mahogany |
|
KD |
US$2040 |
US$10 |
Temperate North American Species
Red Oak |
Northern Region |
KD |
US$1610 |
No Change |
|
AD |
US$1295 |
US$25 |
Southern Region |
KD |
US$1285 |
US$5 |
|
AD |
US$1000 |
US$20 |
Appalachians |
KD |
US$1483 |
US$8 |
|
AD |
US$1163 |
US$15 |
White Oak |
Northern Region |
KD |
US$1205 |
No Change |
|
AD |
US$795 |
US$10 |
Southern Region |
KD |
US$1170 |
US$70 |
|
AD |
US$815 |
US$0 |
Appalachians |
KD |
US$1215 |
US$5 |
|
AD |
US$918 |
US$5 |
Cherry |
|
|
|
Appalachians |
KD |
US$3120 |
US$30 |
|
AD |
US$2450 |
US$25 |
Hard Maple |
Northern Region |
KD |
US$2185 |
US$54 |
|
AD |
US$1800 |
US$25 |
Appalachians |
KD |
US$2015 |
US$5 |
|
AD |
US$1610 |
US$70 |
Soft Maple |
Northern Region |
KD |
US$1395 |
US$15 |
|
AD |
US$1005 |
US$20 |
Appalachian |
KD |
US$1400 |
US$5 |
|
AD |
US$1070 |
US$20 |
Walnut |
Appalachians |
KD |
US$2250 |
US$10 |
|
AD |
US$1690 |
No Change |
Engineered Wooden Boards
As with lumber, the prices of most engineered wooden boards are
lower than one year ago. However, looking only at the first quarter of this year, prices
have firmed. The steepest year on year price decline applies to veneer (-1.7 percent) and
particleboard (-1.9 percent), an exception is provided by MDF. This product is now 4.4
percent more expansive than in March 2001. This difference, however, is because of a steep
price advance during he first half of 2001. Prices slipped in the second half of 2001 and
have remained stable so far this year. Nevertheless, this recent weakness has not fully
eradicated the previous price advances.
Looking at a six-year historic time path, engineered boards fared
even worse than solid lumber products. None of the products monitored is priced more than
5.4 percent higher than in January of 1996. In fact, particleboard and MDF are some ten
percent cheaper.
Finished and Semi-finished Wooden Products
On average, prices of finished and semi-finished wooden products were subject to less
downward price pressure than their raw-material inputs. Indeed, most products being
tracked saw prices go up so far this year and, in many instances, they also recorded
higher prices than one year ago. Not surprisingly, prices of all products are higher than
in January of 1996 (the date when the price movements began to be monitored by AKTRIN on
behalf of ITTO.
Office desks recorded the steepest price advance. This applies both
the long-term (6-years), medium term (1 year) and short-term (beginning of 2002). It seems
that the price rises for this product has not yet come to an end. This is unexpected in
light of still depressed business profits and the reluctance of corporations to make
capital investments. An explanation may be found in the reduced supply of office furniture
due to the many bankruptcies of office furniture companies. Also, the demand for
home-office furniture remains strong. Other products with above average year-on-year price
advances include headboards for beds and wooden mouldings. However, prices of both
products have now stabilised.
Recent price movements for wooden doors rank at the low end of the
inflation scale. In spite of a modest price recovery since the beginning of this year,
wooden doors can now be obtained 1.1 percent below year-ago levels. The reasons for this
fact are higher efficiencies in door manufacturing plants, as well as the ongoing
substitution of solid wood with less expensive MDF. Other products standing out for
falling prices include wooden frames for upholstered chairs and cabinets. Again, in an
environment of slow business conditions - manufacturers have been lowering their prices by
using less expensive materials, such as plywood and particleboard in lieu of solid wood.
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